There are two AI frontiers now, and they move differently — so the Watch tracks them separately. The Commercial Watch follows the proprietary labs and their API models. The Open Source Watch follows open-weight models: their labs, their licenses, their standings, and their releases.
The interactive Singularity Watch over the closed labs: a provider radar, benchmark curves plotted from cited public sources, and an incident feed. Current top of the coding curve: Claude Opus 5 at 96% and GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2% on SWE-bench Verified — a saturated benchmark, and the curves say so.
A dedicated tracker for downloadable models: the labs shipping them, the licenses that decide what you can actually ship, standings from public leaderboards, and a dated release feed. Current Index leader: Xiaomi's MiMo-V2.6-Pro; top open coding score: DeepSeek V4-Pro at 80.6% on SWE-bench Verified.